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USD/CAD flirting with highs near 1.4140

FXStreet (Edinburgh) - The Canadian dollar is now giving away part of the recent strong gains vs. its neighbor, pushing USD/CAD to the area of 1.4140, or daily highs.

USD/CAD focus on Fed, oil

Crude oil prices have been the almost exclusive driver behind the pair’s price action in the last months, prompting spot to quickly clinch fresh cycle highs in levels just shy of 1.4700 the figure days ago, just to drop to the sub-1.4100 area yesterday.

Absent releases in Canada and apart from the performance of the West Texas Intermediate, the FOMC meeting will take centre stage later in the NA session, followed in relevance by New Home Sales and the EIA weekly report on crude oil inventories.

USD/CAD significant levels

As of writing the pair is up 0.39% at 1.4131 with the next resistance at 1.4215 (20-day sma) followed by 1.4327 (high Jan.26) and then 1.4554 (high Jan.15). On the other hand, a break below 1.4041 (low Jan.26) would aim for 1.3837 (3-month uptrend) and finally 1.3514 (100-day sma).

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Fed: Focus on statements, dovish tone anticipated – Danske Bank

Research Team at Danske Bank, suggests that in today’s Fed meet, the focus is likely to be on the statement (no updated projections or a press conference in connection with the meeting).
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FOMC: Waiting for March and watching financial conditions – SocGen

Research Team at Societe Generale, suggests that no policy action is expected during the upcoming FOMC meeting but market participants will be looking closely for clues regarding a possible March rate hike.
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